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Asphalt pavement does not “suddenly fail.” It deteriorates in predictable stages. If you understand those stages, you control the budget. If you ignore them, the pavement controls you.
A commercial parking lot or cart path system in Southern Ontario typically has a design life of 15–25 years. Whether it reaches that lifespan depends almost entirely on maintenance timing in the first 6–8 years.
Here is the real lifecycle.
Fresh asphalt contains light oils (maltenes) that keep the binder flexible. Over time, oxygen reacts with the binder in a process called oxidation. UV exposure accelerates it. The surface begins to lose flexibility and becomes brittle.
This is why new pavement should generally be sealcoated around 18–24 months after installation — not immediately. You want the pavement to cure, but you don’t want prolonged oxidation to harden the binder.
Sealcoating at this stage:
Delaying initial sealcoating allows oxidation to advance deeper into the surface layer, making the pavement more susceptible to cracking.
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Ontario climate introduces the biggest structural threat: freeze-thaw cycling.
Here’s what happens mechanically:
A 1/8" crack does not stay 1/8" for long.
Hot rubber crack filling during this stage is critical. Properly applied crack sealant:
Cracks under 1/4" wide are ideal candidates for crack filling. Once they exceed that, structural damage may already be underway.
This is the most cost-efficient intervention window in the pavement lifecycle.
When interconnected cracking appears — commonly called alligator cracking — the issue is no longer surface-level.
Alligator cracking indicates:
At this point, crack filling is no longer appropriate. Filling alligator cracks is cosmetic and temporary. The correct repair is:
Localized cut-and-patch repairs at this stage prevent failure from spreading laterally.
Ignoring this phase allows structural damage to expand outward, eventually requiring overlays or full reconstruction.
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If early maintenance was consistent — sealcoating every 3–5 years, cracks sealed annually, localized patches completed when needed — most lots can avoid full reconstruction.
Instead, owners can opt for:
These solutions are significantly less expensive than full-depth reconstruction.
If maintenance was neglected, however, widespread base failure may require full excavation — the most expensive outcome.
Let’s break down lifecycle economics for a 50,000 sq ft commercial lot.
Proactive Maintenance Plan:
Estimated lifetime maintenance cost over 20 years: moderate, predictable, staged.
Reactive Plan:
Result:
In most cases, disciplined maintenance reduces lifetime pavement costs by 30–50%, while extending usable life by 5–10+ years.
That is not marketing language. It is simple material science and moisture control.
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Asphalt fails from the top down and from the bottom up.
From the top:
From the bottom:
Maintenance interrupts both failure paths.
The property managers who understand this treat asphalt like a system — not a surface.
When maintained properly, pavement becomes predictable infrastructure. When neglected, it becomes a liability line item.